SunTrust Robinson Humphrey · Update note

KEYW

How an earnings update separates a near-term estimate cut from an unchanged thesis, and values a small-cap on forward EV/EBITDA.

Rating
Buy
Price target
USD 18.00
Published
April 30, 2013
Length
7 pages
Sector
Defense IT
Market
US

What the analyst argued

SunTrust reiterated its Buy on KEYW after first-quarter results because Project G, the company's commercial cyber-analytics product, shipped its first unit ahead of the promised second-quarter timetable. Revenue of $78M rose 40% and beat consensus, but adjusted EPS missed on hiring to support Project G, so the analysts cut 2013 EBITDA from $42M to $36M while keeping an $18 target based on a forward EV/EBITDA multiple at a slight premium to government-services and security-software peers. Catalysts were partnership announcements and Project G sales.

Lead analysts: Tobey Sommer, Frank Atkins.

Inside the report

  1. 01Reiterate Buy; Project G Ahead of Schedule
  2. 02Comments
  3. 03Quick Snapshot of 1Q13 Results
  4. 04KEYW Valuation
  5. 05Company Description
  6. 06Actual and Forecasted Income Statements
  • EV/EBITDA
  • Comparable companies

Includes a multi-year earnings model with the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow forecasts the valuation is built on.

Read the report

7 pages
First page of the SunTrust Robinson Humphrey report on KEYWTap the cover to open the PDF.

Published by SunTrust Robinson Humphrey on April 30, 2013 and hosted here for educational use; the report and everything in it belongs to SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. The rating, estimates, and price target are the analysts’ view on that date, more than a decade ago, and are not a recommendation today. Copy first uploaded October 5, 2026.

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